Poker

 Ces derniers mois, plusieurs chapitres du très attendu Mathematics of Poker circulaient sur diverses listes de discussion. Alors que l'ouvrage sera disponible sur amazon dès la fin du mois, les auteurs, Bill Chen, qui va participer à la prochaine saison de HSP, et Jerrod Ankenman ont dévoilé la version définitive du sommaire de l'ouvrage, qui va révolutionner le poker, dans les forums de twoplustwo. L'ouvrage reprend en partie la série d'articles concernant le  [0,1] game publiée sur R.G.P.. 

 

 

 Sommaire:

 

"If you think the math isn't important, you don't know the right math."

Chris Ferguson

 I) Basics
Covers basic probability and statistical concepts, as well as Bayes' theorem, inference from observed data.

II) Exploitive play
Covers odds, reading hands, reading strategies, a little bit about data mining, playing accurately in cards exposed situations, hand vs distribution situations, and distribution vs distribution situations.

III) Optimal play
Introduces game theory, concept of the nemesis, and then solves many different poker-like toy games. Concepts touched on by these toy games are:

--Jam-or-fold (contains solution to HU JoF NL holdem)
--betting and bluffing ratios
--card removal (AKQ game)
--NL bet sizing
--all manner of [0,1] games
--multi-street games without draws - bet sizing across multiple streets
--multi-street games with open and closed draws - also exposed hand vs known distribution play on turn and river.

IV) Risk
Covers risk of ruin calculations, also risk of ruin based on a sample (includes the uncertainty of the win rate). Covers Kelly utility, game selection (CE choice of limits), portfolio theory, and backing agreements.

V) Other Topics
Covers tournaments, both necessary adjustments (based on the theory of doubling up) and also statistical inference based on tournament payout structures and results.
Covers multiplayer games, collusive alliances, and so on.

 

 Quelques commentaires à propos de MoP:

- Le commentaire d' A. PROCK
- Le commentaire de T. Chan
- Le commentaire de G. Carson
- Le commentaire de K. O’Brien

- Errata for the Mathematics of Poker, First Edition, First Printing sur Conjelco

Le championat du monde de poker (en ligne) débute le 16 septembre sur Pokerstars.
Pour participer aux tournois, Pokerstars organise chaque jour et jusqu'à la fin du mois des satellites à partir de $3.

September 16: Razz ($200+$15) $100,000 guaranteed
September 17: NL Hold ‘em ($500+$30) $1,500,000 guaranteed
September 18: PL Omaha (rebuys) ($300+$20) $400,000 guaranteed
September 19: NL Hold ‘em Match Play ($200+$15) $300,000 guaranteed
September 20: Limit Omaha High/Low ($500+$30) $300,000 guaranteed
September 21: NL Hold ‘em (rebuys) ($200+$15) $1,000,000 guaranteed
September 22: Limit Hold ‘em ($200+$15) $200,000 guaranteed
September 23: HORSE ($200+$15) $100,000 guaranteed
September 23: PL Hold ‘em ($500+$30) $400,000 guaranteed
September 24: NL Hold ‘em ($1,000+ $50) $1,000,000 guaranteed
September 25: Seven Card Stud ($300+$20) $100,000 guaranteed
September 26: PL Omaha8 ($300+$20) $200,000 guaranteed
September 27: PL Hold’em ($300+$20) $400,000 guaranteed
September 28: Seven Card Stud High/Low ($500+$30)$200,000 guaranteed
September 29: PL Omaha ($500+$30) $300,000 guaranteed
September 30: HORSE ($5,000+$200) $100,000 guaranteed
September 30: Limit Hold’em ($1,000+$50) $400,000 guaranteed
September 31: NL Hold ‘em ($2,500+$100) $3,000,000 guaranteed